Theory of Change

Theory of Change

Theory of Change

A Theory of Change is a comprehensive description and visualization of how a program or initiative is expected to achieve its intended outcomes. It is a roadmap that outlines the sequence of events, the logic, and assumptions that underpin a program's design and implementation, providing a clear and transparent framework for program design and evaluation, enabling stakeholders to understand how the program is expected to work and assess whether it is achieving its goals.

The UKCRIC Theory of Change was developed as a compilation of guidance that draws on the evidence base to enable significant infrastructure changes to be properly developed. Read The Little Book of Theory of Change for Infrastructure and Cities, which explores:

  • How to ensure that everyone has a voice in shaping the infrastructure and urban systems that support them, including the public who are paying for them.
  • How to ensure that the problems with these systems are fully and accurately diagnosed.
  • How to ensure that the alternative solutions recognise the unique features of the places in which they operate and are synergistic with them.
  • How to ensure that these solutions would yield their greatest potential value, socially and environmentally as well as economically.
  • How to ensure that these solutions would function well if they were implemented today.
  • How to ensure that the designs are resilient – they would continue to function well, and deliver outcomes that meet the collective aspirations of all, in the
    far future.
  • How to ensure that the risk of unintended consequences is minimised.
  • How to ensure that the governance regimes provide an enabler of, rather than a barrier to, a more sustainable, resilient and liveable future.

You can also read a summary of the key points here. The full guidance document, including references to all relevant research, can be downloaded here.

UKCRIC encourages those working in infrastructures and cities research to use this Theory of Change.